18 Mar 2010

Deutsche Bank's Ackermann - danger of PR own goal

Deutsche Bank's Josef Ackermann fully deserves his 2009 compensation which puts him top-of-the-league for a DAX Chief Executive. It is still moderate compared with pay at some of his banking peers but it does not help his position in the global discussion about banking reform as 10 million Euro is still an amount that is way beyond salary levels that the public - and regulators, politicians and the media - feel comfortable with. To escape this dilemma it would be worthwhile to review the compensation structure of senior management - should it really be paid on the same basis as may be appropriate for a car salesman?

Bawag - problems of Private Equity or Hedge Fund Control

The diffuse ownership structure of the Austrian BAWAG Bank - where an alternative fund management firm has orchestrated a buy-out consortium a few years ago - is an apt illustration of the problems created by allowing alternative asset managers to control banking institutions. Apart from the fact that the financing often is debt-heavy there is the potential risk that conflicts of interest are not controlled properly. The age-old temptation of using a banking institution to supply credit on easy terms to controlling shareholders is one of the key areas that banking regulators have to focus on. There is also a potential conflict of interest when other banks (Goldman Sachs, Lehman Brothers in this case) are shareholders in competing institutions.

16 Mar 2010

Barclays objects to Lehman scrutiny

Barclays Bank is on a roll and it therefore seems strange when the firm is reported to object to further disclosures concerning its takeover of the US operations of Lehman Brothers in autumn 2008. This behaviour will only encourage critics and runs contrary to our advice that full disclosure it the best public relations strategy.

Stability Fund no magic solution for Banking System

Germany seems to move closer to implementing some sort of stability fund for the banking sector. But its promoters already admit that the state (taxpayer) will still have to provide a backstop even in a situation when a fund is in existence. We would agree as the fund would have to be of enormous size if it ever would be able to provide for any crisis. Ironically a similar (simpler?) solution would be for banks to hold more capital reserves - which would effectively be an in-house contingency fund at every institution. Suggestions that other sectors (such as insurance) should also contribute to the fund are based on the argument that they have benefited from the bailout provided by the taxpayer. Now where does this argument end?

15 Mar 2010

Lehman: Masters of the Universe R.I.P.

The sense of hubris that was prevalent at Lehman Brothers before the fall is well documented in a new book The Devil’s Casino: Friendship, Betrayal and the High Stakes Games Played Inside Lehman Brothers, by Vicky Ward. It mentions that one of the top honchos in the firm, Chris Pettit, got by with a personal spending budget of $ 15 million (!!) a year. With leadership of that kind it is no surprise that the company had to hit the rocks sooner or later. The question one has to ask is what lessons - if any - has the securities industry from the credit crunch?

12 Mar 2010

Repo transactions under a cloud

Reports that Lehman relied heavily on repo transactions in order to disguise problems with its balance sheet highlight the need for tighter restrictions on repo's. Like commercial paper, most repo deals are short-term in nature and therefore unsuited for the financing of longer-term assets. Funding based on repo's, commercial paper and similar instruments should be used exclusively for the financing of assets with a matching maturity profile and capital requirements should allow for a sufficient margin to provide for extreme events.

Geithner intervenes in EU hedge fund regulation

One has to wonder what Tim Geithner's priorities are at a time when the USA faces an unprecedented gap in its budget and the economy has just left the intensive-care ward. The USA puts massive restrictions on foreign fund managers that try to market their services or securities to its citizens, the boilerplate restrictions on most securities prospectuses and fund manager's brochures and websites bear witness to that. Why should the EU not have the right to protect its citizens? Any non-EU fund manager is welcome to set up a EU-compliant subsidiary and thus get access to a market of 500 million people.

11 Mar 2010

Causes of the global credit crunch

It is too early to fully understand how it could happen that the World's Financial System got close to a global meltdown during the past 12 months. Some blame greedy bankers, others lay the blame squarely at the foot of the (US) consumers. Institutional Investors also appear entangled as they allowed managements too much leeway and even egged them on to pursue ever-more risky expansion plans. However, we tend to think that regulators - and their paymasters the politicians - may have to take a large part of the blame.
Unfortunately they are the party that is the least likely to bear the full cost of their mistakes. Shareholders have to suffer from dramatically shrunken share prices, scores of bankers have lost their jobs, or are about to in the near future. Bureaucrats are happily engaged in the blame game and are joined by academics and media people who often are also less than objective in their judgement.

FSA wants tougher stress tests

As the FSA here in Britain announces new - tougher - stress markers for UK banks we can only hope that the underlying economic model holds up in case another economic crisis hits the banking system. We all know what happened to the Value-at-Risk Model - it was less than useful when it was needed most. The problem with stress-tests in banking is that it is impossible for the banking system as it is at present to provide for every conceivable disaster scenario as that would mean that ultimately the banks would have to hold all deposits 100 per cent in cash.

8 Mar 2010

Lower Leverage-ratio under fire

The Federation of German banks has commissioned a study of the impact of stricter leverage ratios. Not surprisingly, the authors (Markus Rudolf and Michael Frenkel from WHU Otto Beisheim School of Management) come to the conclusion that the introduction of lower ratios would have to be handled very carefully - and may not even be desirable. To the contrary, we think that the suggested ratio of 20-25 times equity capital as a maximum range of leverage (as suggested in a consultation document presented by the Bale Committee last December) leaves the banking system still dangerously overextended.