3 Nov 2011

Nationalising the Banks? - A Warning from Germany

From right and left we can hear occasional calls for the nationalisation of banks. This should prevent that taxpayers have to pick up losses by private banks. But a particularly glaring example of what can go wrong when politicians are allowed to play bank manager is found in the sorry fate of Germany's Westdeutsche Landesbank. Many similar examples of mismanagement by political incompetents can be found all over the world.

Lloyds Bank boss needs a break

While we have sympathy with Antonio Horta-Osorio's health problem and wish him a speedy recovery we cannot but take the opportunity to point out that this incident may point to a management failure. While Horta-Osorio is at the center of a 'perfect banking storm' and has to battle on all fronts to steer the bank through choppy waters caused by the never ending financial crisis and the ensuing onslaught by regulators it is the mark of a good leader, and in particular the man/woman at the top of an organisation, to surround himself with strong and capable lieutenants that he can rely on. Maybe Horta-Osorio fell into the same trap as so many (chief) executives and tried to do too much himself. But no person is irreplaceable and we all know that at any moment the CEO could be knocked out of action by the proverbial bus. So an organisation should not only have a well-balanced leadership team for efficiency's sake but also for the eventuality of any succession that may be necessary for one reason or another.

1 Nov 2011

Bonus season advice: less haggling, more transparency

Transparency is urgently required with respect to 'bonus' payments. To a large extent these are allocated on an arbitrary basis, after much political haggling. Even when a bonus is based on rational and quantitative factors it cannot be free from suspicion. The amount of business a trader, salesperson or investment banker can achieve is to a large extent dependent on what markets/customers he has been allocated and how active these were during the bonus period. Bonus payments should to a large extend be based on the overall performance of a business otherwise the internal climate in most banks and other financial institutions will be dominated by constant  internal backbiting - no wonder firms go so far as to prevent employees from openly discussing their compensation arrangements. Senior management in any case should only receive the company-wide bonus and as such give a good example of moral leadership. Is this expecting too much?

29 Oct 2011

Russia: do not learn the wrong things from Western Bankers

'Senior western financiers (...) gathered in Moscow on Friday to advise Russia on its efforts to transform Moscow into an international financial centre and steel itself against global market turmoil'. (Financial Times).
But the last thing the Russians should do is listen to the Western banking establishment. Neither factually nor morally its exponents are fit to teach the Russians how to organise a stable banking/financial system. After a near-collapse in 2008 and total uncertainty about the future - what could they lecture about in Moscow? Why not first make sure that the banks in the 'West' get fixed once and for all? The blueprints exist, alas the will is not there (at least not as long as it hurts one's pocket if reforms are wholeheartedly endorsed)

Fireproof the British Banking System

'The remorseless logic of the monetary union is starting to bite' (Financial Times). The curse of the bad Deed (Goethe, Faust) haunts us - first the undemocratic introduction of the Euro, now the undemocratic decision of letting Greece off to the tune of Euro 10,000 and more per man, woman and child in that county. Mismanagement on that scale can, will and should only lead to disaster. Big challenge for Britain: how to make its financial system 'fireproof' against any fallout from Euro land. Are regulators making sure that the banking system disentangles itself from any exposure to Euro land? (esp on the asset side of the balance sheet). Other countries that are not part of the Eurozone are well advised to take action as well before it is too late. The same can be said of all companies, institutions and individual investors and savers.

27 Oct 2011

Banks should rely on customer deposits

As in tighter regulation of maturity mismatches, future regulation of banks should also reduce the need for the interbank merry-go-round. Banks should be incentivised to fund the predominant part of their balance sheet with customer deposits. Only very marginal amounts should be financed in the interbank market, more like smoothing out the natural flow of deposits. This way counterparty risk would be greatly reduced.

26 Oct 2011

Yahoo Board looks harder for new CEO

Headlines such as this one illustrate that many boards are completely negligent in one of their key tasks - making sure that there is a proper succession plan in place. That large companies find it so hard to groom candidates for the top position is testimony for poor board practice. Though one of our business lines is recruting senior professional staff we are surprised that most firms are paying much to little attention to this crucial aspect. Personnel Management is not just a support function that should be left to the personnel department that is ranked below the front line divisions in terms of clout and prestige. Instead it should be a core function in every business - and even more so in the financial service industry which basically has no tangible products and relies for its success completely on the quality of its employees.

25 Oct 2011

Today's Banks are by necessity a sort of Ponzi Scheme

Martin Wolf's suggestions for banking reform may all be admirable but they are basically just reshuffling the chairs on the deck of the Titanic. Banking as we know it is to some extent by necessity a ponzi scheme, to accept that longer-term loans are financed with deposits on shorter notice periods is a concept that may work in the days when investors were very loyal (or lazy). A much better solution would be limited purpose banking (as promoted by Laurence Kotlikoff) where banks become some sort of mutual fund.

21 Oct 2011

Advice to the City of London: stop the bureaucratic control freaks before it is too late

Reading Monsieur Barnier's latest utterings (pity he has no pregnant young wife, maybe that would put a stop to his unnecessary activities) makes one wonder what the reaction of the representatives of British interests - be it the cacophony of associations pretending to speak for the 'City' or the arms of Government (FSA, Bank of England, Treasury) will be. Pious talk will get them nowhere against the hunger of the typical continental bureaucrat (statist control freaks) for ever more power. As an Austrian who works in the City for 30+ years I am allowed to say that. Call their bluff or face certain defeat, the choice is there.

20 Oct 2011

Barnier on Rating Agencies: Shoot the Messenger!

If banning ratings that do not suit the political establishment is all that the career bureaucrat Barnier can come up with, it is back to the dark ages of absolutism - as the Philosopher Sloterdijk said in a recent interview our political system is basically the old authoritarian monarchical regime that has been usurped by an equally undemocratic political/party/lobby mafia. The only sensible reform of the rating system would be the elimination of all references to ratings in regulations and the prohibition of ratings that are paid for the entities being rated. None of these two obvious reforms have been brought forward yet.