17 Jun 2011

Oppenheim / Deutsche Bank - Haste makes Waste

While it may appear to be a cheap shot to criticise Deutsche Bank's takeover and rescue of Germany's venerable Sal. Oppenheim in the summer of 2009 one aspect of the transaction can definitely be described as representing poor management practice. As this report illustrates, the decision to bid for the bank was made with undue speed and it is clear that proper due diligence would not have been possible. Time may have been of the essence - it always is in rescue bids - but the bidder can only gain from any delay. If the situation the target finds himself in (Merrill Lynch, HBOS, Dresdner Bank) is really dire the value of the asset has only one way to go: Down. Managements of highly rated organisations such as Bankamerica, Deutsche Bank,  Lloyds TSB or Commerzbank should really be aware of this simple fact and all managements in all acquiring companies should never feel under time pressure (real or imagined) - as Terra Firma's Guy Hands found out to his cost when bidding for EMI.

7 Jun 2011

How to prepare for slowdown in investment banking

Predictions of a decline of 16 percent in global investment banking revenues will pose a serious challenge for investment banks and securities dealers. Senior management is still trying to get a handle on all the regulatory changes they are hit with (and no end is in sight) and global markets in equities, commodities and bonds may be at or close to a peak. So the outlook is not rosy as declining markets usually also lead to a decline in market activity. One thing is clear: a stop-and-go management style in all likelihood will fail, hire-and-fire policies have been tried numerous times over the past 20 to 30 years and done nothing but demotivate and demoralise organisations (many of which have sadly disappeared from the industry). Managements are called to get away from 'macro-management' (lots of flip charts, off-site meetings, management consultants) and buckle down to manage the everyday aspects of their businesses, nurture staff - and above all manage the often inflated expectations regarding compensation that their employees might still garner.

25 May 2011

UBS: dramatic appeal by Chief Executive Gruebel

Oswald Gruebel's dramatic appeal to the staff of UBS's US investment banking staff demonstrates the difficulty of managing today's sprawling international banking businesses. Once an operation is - rightly or wrongly - under pressure due to difficult markets or competitive weaknesses it requires near-superhuman skills to put the ship on the right course again. Investment Banking, Securities Dealing and Investment Management are basically simple businesses when one looks at their basic constituents but as I always say: it is not brain surgery, but people - and companies - who want to succeed in these businesses need a blend of a lot of different skills and it is exactly this combination that is the challenge - especially when the 'assets' of the business walk out of the door every evening.