4 Sept 2011

Cameron vs Taleb? - No Contest!

The discussion about banking reform (or should it be non-reform?) reaches a comical aspect when David Cameron, PR Manager turned Politician, assumes that his approach to reforming the British banking system should take precedence over the deliberations of the experts that are members of the Independent Banking Commission. Reports indicate that the Prime Minister will brush aside a critical aspect of the recommendations made by the IBC, namely the separation of proper banking activities from investment banking (some might say gambling). While a go-alone approach to reform by the UK alone might well put UK-domiciled banks at a disadvantage versus their international peers we would think that the correct course of action would have been to intensify pressure on other countries to follow suit - at least the other EU member states might have been amenable to instigate similar conservative policies. In an article that was just published the other day, Nassim Taleb and Mark Spitznagel send a sharp criticism in the direction of the banking industry (and supine institutions that invest in them) which implies that banks need more not less regulation - in clear contrast to our PR Manager's view that seems to have been dictated to him by unaccountable lobbies. One wonders if the members of the IBC in that case would do the honorable thing - resign and openly defy the Prime Minister on the issue.

1 Sept 2011

Banking Reform: Key problem no nearer to solution

Thousands of pages have been written about how to reform the banking system but we are no nearer to a solution. The key problem that needs to be solved is the fact that under the existing banking regulations the taxpayer is the ultimate guarantor of (most if not all) banking deposits. As long as this deficiency is not remedied we will not have a properly regulated banking system. If an engineer has to construct a bridge it is either safe or not. The same non-compromising yardstick should be applied when discussing solutions to the problems of the banking system.

23 Aug 2011

CDS trading still poses danger to financial stability

During the height of the Credit Crunch we have repeatedly warned about the dangers of a self-feeding spiral that could destabilise companies and banks in particular. Nothing has been learned and the market's attack on Bankamerica seems to become a repeat performance of the chaos that was allowed to dominate the markets back then.