13 Sept 2011

Maturity Mismatch - Problem not solved

To rely on money market funds to finance a large part of any bank balance sheet is sheer folly - the surprising thing is that most 'experts' - be they in the academic world, in politics and regulation and in the media - have not raised their voice more forcefully against this practice. It may have been feasible in the good old days when investors were sleepy and less well informed but to finance longer-term lending with footloose money that can switch allegiance at a second's notice is not a viable strategy for a modern banking system. Unfortunately regulators all over the world seem to be unable to order banks to match maturities on both sides of the balance sheet and deviate only by a very small - and carefully monitored - margin from 100 per cent congruence.

10 Sept 2011

Death Knell for Europe's Banks?

Rather than trying to cut back on government spending that is clearly out of control in most European countries the unaccountable Bureaucrats/Kleptocrats that shower us with ill-conceived legislation by the truckload are proposing to introduce a tax on financial transactions that will make sure that European banks will be hopelessly outclassed by non-EU banks in the relevant transactions. No satisfied to burden banks with the tax the iron law of bureaucracy ensures that ever-more severe restrictions are necessary to achieve the bureaucrats aim. In this case the tax will not be levied on transaction in Europe but on all transactions conducted be the banks on a worldwide basis. Not that this will be crowned with much success as it seems unlikely that all major countries will follow suit in introducing this tax. Thus a migration of transaction - and the supporting infrastructure and personnel - seems to be a near-certainty. Welcome back to the Window Tax and other absurdities of times past that enlightened people considered to be a thing of the dark ages in years long gone by.

9 Sept 2011

Deutsche Bank aims high, maybe too high?

To declare that he aims to reach a certain number in terms of profitability is a dangerous game to play for any company chief executive. It may be useful for internal planning and consumption but to give a number in public as Deutsche Bank CEO Josef Ackermann just pronounced (Euro 10 billion pre-tax in 2011) appears a bit unrealistic as the bank never managed to get near this number even in the 'good old days' before credit crunch and Euro crisis. The stock prices of major banks certainly would need a shot-in-the-arm and not just since the twin crisis torpedoed them. Rather than manage analyst expectations managements would be well-advised to complete a root-and-branch review of their business strategies.