29 Aug 2017

London Job Losses - trickling rather than bleeding

One always had to wonder why Deutsche Bank needs 9000 people in London, or HSBC needs 43000 in the UK. Was that not always padded by quite a bit or over staffing? So large banks move dozens or even hundreds of jobs, dispersed in various regional centres? Given the arrival of Fintech and the plummeting cost of communicating with low-cost centres there was always the prospect of job diversion, especially in support roles. Globalization also means that other centres such as Dubai, Singapore, Shanghai etc would grow in stature and staff would be relocated closer to customers and markets.
In the opposite direction there are forces that might in the long run strengthen the role as hub and nerve centre coordinating and directing the regional centres. Higher Value-added roles might well be concentrated in the UK - if politics and regulation are creating a business-friendly environment.
https://www.cnbc.com/2017/08/29/bank-jobs-are-bleeding-out-of-london--and-brexit-hasnt-even-kicked-in-yet.html

22 Aug 2017

Bitcoin Hype - Regulators asleep or afraid

Given the thousands of pages of detailed regulation that has been produced in all major industrial countries one has to wonder why the Regulators are keeping stumm about the Bitcoin craze. Claims that thses 'coins' are Digital 'Currencies' are clearly misleading (try selling a 'Digital House', or a 'Digital' Brooklyn Bridge). Neither are they a safe haven, they are digital assets and given the way they are offered and promoted they are investments and as such should be brought under regulatory umbrellas.
(22-Aug-2017)
The price of Bitcoin and Ethereum is slipping but Bitcoin Cash is rising

15 Aug 2017

Bitcoin hype - stop calling it a 'Currency'

Tulips, Tulips anyone, or maybe you want to buy a Bridge? Play the hype but please stop calling Bitcoin a currency. All sorts of stuff served as currency at one time (shells, salt for example) but currency is what is generally accepted in payments at the time. So Gold is no longer a currency, neither are shells or salt.
Bitcoin hits another record high, value has risen over $15 billion in one week alone

25 Jul 2017

Goldman Sachs is scaling back market-making for exchange-traded funds

This will not make it easier to maintain orderly markets if and when the tide turns and markets enter a bear market. Markets move faster on the downside and panic is never far away then, even more so now that global markets are linked by ultra-fast communication and the crowd/herd effect can accerate trends.
Goldman Sachs is scaling back its role as a lead market maker for exchange-traded funds

Goldman Sachs is scaling back trading exchange-traded funds

This will not make it easier to maintain orderly markets if and when the tide turns and markets enter a bear market. Markets move faster on the downside and panic is never far away then, even more so now that global markets are linked by ultra-fast communication and the crowd/herd effect is easily generated.

Goldman Sachs is scaling back its role as a lead market maker for exchange-traded funds

13 Jul 2017

Impressions from Paris - Europlace Conference

This year more than in other years this annual event was to be interesting given the fact that Brexit is in full swing (or not if you listen to Remainers and assorted moaners). So the lack of a strong attendance by non-French visitors was a surprise. Naturally the locals did their best to put Paris in a good light. Not so sure about the 'City of Love' as some panelists did not forget to mention. But then why has prostitution then be made illegal in 2016? Cannot be so good for love!
On a more serious note one has to accept that Paris was a large financial centre before Brexit. How much it will be able to add now is not so clear. Most market professionals may speak English so incoming staff may be able to fit in, but their private lives may not be so easy. Nice property is as expensive as in London, and finding a house with garden will be a struggle. And giving preferential tax treatment to financial staff - and only the heavy hitters among the foreigners - may not go all too well with 'Fraternite' as it is a blatantly discriminatory law (do the EU and the ECJ dare to intervene?)
Dublin, Frankfurt are already busy nibbling on London's cake and only time will tell how much they can grab. Will financial firms be more efficient if they spread themselves thin all over Europe? Communication is cheap, but lack of face-to-face interaction will do little to improve either the work climate or coordination.

7 Jul 2017

EU Regulators Take Aim At London's Asset-Management Industry

No surprise there, EU is basically a protectionist racket, dominated by socialist parties and lobbies, where even pseudo right wing parties are praying from the same hymn sheet and embrace big government. Also means that the UK has to negotiate harder, I suggested a while ago that if local production would be required for asset management services then the same rule should be applied to manufactured goods. So come on BMW, Daimler, start producing in the UK. And someone has to tell the Eurocracy: keep your MIFID and Financial Transaction Tax nonsense!
EU Regulators Take Aim At London's Asset-Management Industry

27 Jun 2017

Soothing Words about ETF - But Liquidity disappears when we need it most

The market does provide super liquidity that one could never imagine in the past. But when the music stops there will NOT be enough chairs! This type of complacency makes a major debacle even more likely. How many (highly paid) risk managers are really prepared for nearly instantaneous price changes of 20-25 % in all major markets? Tiny slivers of margin will just not be enough to cushion the blow, esp when some potholes open up and a player (or players) fail.
Junk Bond ETFs Are the Future. That's a Good Thing. - Bloomberg

14 Jun 2017

NYC proposes to prohibit asking candidates about current salary

Not clear why Messrs. Schwarzman (Blackstone) and Corbat (Citigroup) would have any objection. All prospective employers need to know is what salary a job candidate expects.
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/06/13/business/dealbook/job-salary-pay-women-men-wall-street.html?_r=0